The impacts of productivity differentials and oil price on the real exchange rate misalignment: evidence from a developing country Online publication date: Sat, 26-Oct-2019
by Mouyad Alsamara
J. for Global Business Advancement (JGBA), Vol. 12, No. 4, 2019
Abstract: This study examines the impact of oil price and productivity differentials on real exchange rate (RER) misalignment in Syria from 1980 to 2010. In order to do that, this research develops an index for productivity differential by applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test for cointegration proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001). The empirical results found that there is a positive and significant relationship between productivity differentials, oil price, gross capital formation and RER appreciation while government expenditure has an opposite impact. Stability tests show that RER adjusts towards its equilibrium path. The empirical results further conclude that a flexible exchange rate raise the adjustment speed towards the equilibrium in the long run. Consequently, Syria's monetary policy economy should achieve a flexible exchange rate regime to ease the convergence of the exchange rate after a shock occurs.
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the J. for Global Business Advancement (JGBA):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:
Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.
If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com
Our Blog 
Follow us on Twitter 
Visit us on Facebook