Risk assessment of large crude oil depot based on interpretative structural model and system dynamics Online publication date: Wed, 09-Sep-2020
by Li-Qiong Chen; Yu-Xiang Feng; Hong-Long Zhen; Qiao-Chu Li; Jing-Yang Lu
International Journal of Oil, Gas and Coal Technology (IJOGCT), Vol. 25, No. 2, 2020
Abstract: In this paper, the interpretative structural model is used to determine the causality among the risk factors and a system dynamics model is established. The method is applied to the risk analysis of a large crude oil depot. The results show that the safety atmosphere and supervision play critical roles on the risk of the oil depot. At the mature stage of risk development, improvements in the equipment risk and management risk has the greatest impact on the overall risk. The degree of education, equipment usage time, safety atmosphere and supervision are the key risk factors for the human, equipment, environmental and management risk subsystems, respectively. This result provides a scientific basis to understand the trend of risk dynamic, risk evolution mechanism and fundamental risk factors and fundamentally prevent the occurrence of large crude oil depots. [Received: March 16, 2018; Accepted: December 17, 2018]
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Oil, Gas and Coal Technology (IJOGCT):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:
Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.
If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com
Our Blog 
Follow us on Twitter 
Visit us on Facebook