Continuous monitoring of COVID-19 pandemic trend for policy making: improvised application of Sen's innovative method
by Saha Dauji
International Journal of Healthcare Technology and Management (IJHTM), Vol. 20, No. 3, 2023

Abstract: The study examines the efficacy of Sen's Innovative Trend Analysis for early identification of the start of the rise in daily new SARS-COV2 cases and proposes simple improvisation for continuous monitoring. Sen's Innovative Slope could identify the start of the rise (second wave) in India ahead of the other tools (time history/moving average plots). Comparison across administrative units using normalised slopes highlighted possible differences, sometimes opposite trends. Policies for containing infection or reducing fatality formulated for larger administrative units need fine-tuning according to the local trends of smaller ones for proper management of the progression of the pandemic.

Online publication date: Thu, 20-Jul-2023

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