ICT service exports in South Asia: a cross-country forecasting approach
by Abu Naser Mohammad Saif; Azmawani Abd Rahman; S.M. Masudur Rahman; Nusrat Jafrin
International Journal of Business Innovation and Research (IJBIR), Vol. 32, No. 4, 2023

Abstract: The aim of the current study is to depict the forecasting trend of information and communication technology (ICT) service exports for the eight South Asian countries (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka). The latest available secondary data on ICT service exports for those South Asian countries from the World Development Indicators (WDI) of the World Bank dataset for the period of 2008 to 2017 were used for this study. For identifying the trend pattern, the least-square trend equation on deseasonalised data of ICT service exports has been used. In the least square trend equation, the independent variable is time and the dependent variable is deseasonalised data. Time series regression model has been initiated to forecast future values based on earlier mentioned values in the dataset. Findings of the study indicate that six countries (Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka) have an upward trend of ICT service exports for the period 2018-2025, and two countries (Afghanistan and Bhutan) have a downward trend of ICT service exports for the same time interval.

Online publication date: Fri, 15-Dec-2023

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

 
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Business Innovation and Research (IJBIR):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

Username:        Password:          Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com