National Flood Risk Index in climate change scenarios
by Pedro Garrett; Filipe Duarte Santos
International Journal of Global Warming (IJGW), Vol. 33, No. 3, 2024

Abstract: Extreme weather events are gaining a global notoriety due to their increasing impacts. The need to adapt must be in line with the best practices by including the frequency and intensity of extremes in climate change scenarios, enabling the discovery of new hotspots and critical areas. This work develops a Flood Risk Index for continental Portugal, by combining three flood components: physical susceptibility, exposure, and the frequency of severe precipitation events in climate change scenarios. To accomplish this task 3,653 simulations of daily precipitation projections were conducted using a spatial-temporal statistical downscaling approach.

Online publication date: Fri, 28-Jun-2024

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