Earnings warning framework predicting bank financial failures – the case of Nigeria in the 1990s Online publication date: Thu, 03-Sep-2009
by Jonathan Njoku, Eno L. Inanga
International Journal of Critical Accounting (IJCA), Vol. 1, No. 4, 2009
Abstract: This study evaluates the CAMELS tool, which bank regulators use to gauge bank financial condition as part of off-site surveillance. Both the choice of variables and the factors that they represent affect regulatory opinion on the nature of bank problem and policy measures applicable. By performing discriminant analysis on typical variables used in formulating the framework of CAMELS, the study shows that some variables in the Nigerian formulation did not influence bank financial condition. In addition, typical variables that prove useful in explaining bank financial condition in the case of Nigeria were not included in the Nigerian formulation. The study further reports the adequacy of the so-called earnings-warning factor alone in discriminating across categories of weak, normal and strong banks. It reflects structural operating problem that had plagued Nigerian banks over the years which policy prescriptions appeared to miss.
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