Title: Dismay and disparities - economic development and cancer incidence

Authors: Susanne Cruickshank; Bryan McIntosh; Michael Fascia

Addresses: University of Stirling, Airthrey Road, Stirling, FK9 4LA, UK ' University of Stirling, Airthrey Road, Stirling, FK9 4LA, UK ' Edinburgh Napier University, Craiglockhart Campus, 219, Colinton Road, Edinburgh, EH14 1DJ, UK

Abstract: The distribution and determinants of cancerous diseases in specified populations attempts to prevent and control cancer-related public health issues, and is an essential step in epidemiological studies. During economic growth, every society undergoes several substantial structural changes in healthcare demand and supply. In this paper, we discuss the relationship between economic growth and cancer incidences. The purposes is to describe and measure the influence of an increasing per capita income on the overall incidence of cancer. By using worldwide cross-sectional data from 162 countries, regression results with crude and age-standardised rates, allows us to measure the elasticity of cancer incidences with respect to per capita income and to decompose the elasticity coefficient into two components: age-effect and lifestyle-effect. In this article we sketch a macroeconomic theory of cancer incidence. We introduce some basic hypotheses about how demand-side economic structural changes may affect the evolution of cancer incidence. Finally, we try to develop a basic framework in order to explain how economic structural changes on the demand-side can affect the evolution of cancer incidence.

Keywords: cancer incidence; economic growth; structural change; per-capita income; lifestyle effect; age effect.

DOI: 10.1504/IJHP.2019.101694

International Journal of Healthcare Policy, 2019 Vol.1 No.1, pp.70 - 88

Accepted: 16 Jul 2018
Published online: 21 Aug 2019 *