Title: Unravelling the fourth industrial revolution: a comparative study of a label

Authors: Dominique Nijssen; Roger Bemelmans; Harro van Lente

Addresses: Research Center for Data Intelligence, Zuyd University of Applied Sciences, P.O. Box 550, 6400 AN Heerlen, The Netherlands ' Research Center for Data Intelligence, Zuyd University of Applied Sciences, P.O. Box 550, 6400 AN Heerlen, The Netherlands ' Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, Department of Technology and Society Studies, Maastricht University, P.O. Box 616, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands

Abstract: It is a commonplace to claim we are on the brink of a new technological revolution; many actors share such expectations and persuasive visions. This paper is concerned with the label of the fourth industrial revolution, a term re-coined in 2016 by Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum. We aim to unravel the fourth industrial revolution by connecting such visions to concrete technological developments. First, we identified influential visionary individuals; second, we distilled the most promising technologies from their visions and, third, we traced these technologies back in research, development and innovation agendas of governments. As a fourth step we monitored the evolution of 33 promising technologies for the period 2000-2019 Based on this analysis, we can conclude that the promising technologies being mentioned in the visions of influential individuals, governments and science differ in priority and have a different meaning.

Keywords: fourth industrial revolution; technology forecasting; emerging technologies; technological futures; innovation.

DOI: 10.1504/IJTPM.2022.126137

International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, 2022 Vol.22 No.4, pp.288 - 305

Received: 08 Dec 2020
Accepted: 04 Mar 2021
Published online: 13 Oct 2022 *

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