Title: Impact of climate change on aquatic marine fish production: a multivariate and causality analysis

Authors: Muhammad Mehedi Masud

Addresses: Department of Development Studies, Faculty of Business and Economics, Universiti Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Abstract: This study explores the dynamic relationship between CO₂ emissions, average rainfall (RFL), average temperature (TEMP), and aquatic marine fish production (ACQ) in Malaysia using a 39-year time series of data from the World Bank and the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO). The ARDL approach to cointegration revealed that CO₂ emissions and rainfall negatively and significantly influence aquatic marine fish production in the short term. The results also revealed that rainfall negatively and significantly affects aquatic marine fish production in the long run, while CO₂ emissions and temperature negatively influence aquatic marine fish production in the long run, but they are not statistically significant. Therefore, the findings of this study could help determine the effects of climate change on aquatic marine fish production and guide policy decisions on how to deal with climate change and fisheries management at the national level to reduce the impact of climate change on aquatic marine fish production in Malaysia.

Keywords: climate change; CO₂ emission; aquatic marine fish production; Malaysia.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSE.2023.134218

International Journal of Sustainable Economy, 2023 Vol.15 No.4, pp.502 - 521

Received: 22 Feb 2022
Accepted: 13 May 2022
Published online: 13 Oct 2023 *

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