Title: The footprint of inter-state labour migration on the COVID-19 scenario of India: an analysis of structural break and growth rate

Authors: Shrabanti Maity; Ummey Rummana Barlaskar; Anil Bhumali

Addresses: Department of Economics, Vidyasagar University, Midnapore, West Bengal, India ' Department of Economics, Assam University, Silchar, Assam, India ' Department of Economics, North Bengal University, North Bengal, West Bengal, India

Abstract: The common SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the huge loss of human capital worldwide and India is not an exception. India witnessed inter-state labour migration during the lockdown and the celebration of devotional festivals during the unlock phase. The paper aimed to explore the footprint of inter-state labour migration and the aftermaths of the celebration of devotional festivals on the COVID-19 scenario in India. The empirical analysis of the paper was facilitated by the utilisation of the CUSUM of squares test and Poirier's spline function approach. Based on the secondary data on per-day new COVID-19 cases and per-day new COVID-19 death cases in India, the study concluded although inter-state labour migration did not evident to have the permanent scar to COVID-19 scenario of India, the celebration of devotional festivals evidently had. The study ended with suitable policy prescriptions.

Keywords: interstate labour migration; devotional festivals; COVID-19; CUSUM of squares test; Poirier's spline function approach; India.

DOI: 10.1504/IJICBM.2024.136806

International Journal of Indian Culture and Business Management, 2024 Vol.31 No.2, pp.212 - 230

Received: 27 Aug 2021
Accepted: 26 Jul 2022
Published online: 22 Feb 2024 *

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