Title: Research on econometric safety model for export structure of manufacturing industry

Authors: Hongbing Wang; Dongfang Hua; Haoze Feng; Guanran Ben; Jingyuan Tan; Dongjie Zhu

Addresses: School of Artificial Intelligence, Wuxi Vocational College of Science and Technology, Wuxi, 214028, China ' School of Artificial Intelligence, Wuxi Vocational College of Science and Technology, Wuxi, 214028, China ' School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Weihai, 264200, China ' School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Weihai, 264200, China ' School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Weihai, 264200, China ' School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Weihai, 264200, China

Abstract: China's export structure is gradually changing from labour-intensive products to technology-intensive products. It is of great significance to deeply analyse the impact of continuous increases in investment in research and invention on the changes in the manufacturing export structure. The current research on the formation mechanism of manufacturing export structure evolution has essential reference value for the structural evolution analysis in the previous round of development. Still, there is a lack of in-depth research on the export structure of technology-intensive products. This paper empirically studies the factors affecting the structural changes of manufacturing exports and the safety measurement model. In order to ensure the validity of the model estimation results and avoid false regression, all variables are tested for stationarity. The experimental results show that the level of economic development and the degree of openness has a significant positive impact on the changes in the structure of manufacturing exports, but the effect of expenditure on research and invention is not noticeable. On this basis, policy recommendations for further promoting the upgrading of the manufacturing export structure are put forward.

Keywords: manufacturing industry; export structure; R&D input; econometric safety model.

DOI: 10.1504/IJCSE.2024.138421

International Journal of Computational Science and Engineering, 2024 Vol.27 No.3, pp.268 - 274

Received: 30 Oct 2022
Accepted: 23 Jun 2023
Published online: 03 May 2024 *

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