Title: Local climate and weather changes in Pakistan - an assessment through historical temperature data

Authors: Amna Bano; Minzah Shehzad; Saira Tariq; Zaira Tariq; Jamshaid Iqbal; Shehroze Ahmad; Ammad Ahmad

Addresses: Department of Environment and Energy Management, College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan ' Department of Environment and Energy Management, College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan ' Department of Environment and Energy Management, College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan ' Department of Environment and Energy Management, College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan ' Department of Environment and Energy Management, College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan ' Department of Environment and Energy Management, College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan ' Department of Environment and Energy Management, College of Business Management, Institute of Business Management, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan

Abstract: Present study evaluates the current and future climate and weather patterns in Pakistan through analysing the historic trends in temperature data spanning 20-year period from 2002 to 2021. Pakistan had an unstable and variable seasonal and monthly temperature pattern throughout the past two decades. Notably, whereas the winter season has showed an increasing temperature trend, the spring, summer, and autumn seasons have exhibited a declining tendency in temperature. Study predicts that average temperatures might increase by around 1% throughout the winter and summer seasons over the subsequent ten years (2022-2031). Monthly temperature fluctuations were in the range of 1.36%-7.33% from 2002-2021 whereas, a future temperature variation from 0.6%-5.29% is expected during next two decades. Currently Pakistan needs to improve its resilience and adaptation capacity to temperature fluctuations as identified by this study.

Keywords: climate change; weather; temperature; Pakistan; temperature variations.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGW.2024.139274

International Journal of Global Warming, 2024 Vol.33 No.3, pp.235 - 249

Received: 19 Aug 2023
Accepted: 13 Oct 2023
Published online: 28 Jun 2024 *

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