Title: The development of a strategic risk analysis framework for interconnected surface transportation systems

Authors: George Leventakis; Athanasios Sfetsos; Nikolaos Moustakidis; Vasileios Gkrizis; Nikitas Nikitakos

Addresses: Department of Information and Communication Systems Engineering, University of Aegean, Karlovassi, Samos, and Center for Security Studies (KEMEA), P. Kanelopoulou 4 Str., 10177, Athens, Greece. ' Environmental Research Laboratory, INTRP, NCSR Demokritos, P. Grigoriou Str., 15310, Agia Paraskevi, Greece. ' Environmental Research Laboratory, INTRP, NCSR Demokritos, P. Grigoriou Str., 15310, Agia Paraskevi, Greece. ' Center for Security Studies (KEMEA), P. Kanelopoulou 4 Str., 10177, Athens, Greece. ' Department of Shipping Trade and Transport, University of Aegean, Korai 2A Str., 82100 Chios, Greece

Abstract: Transportation networks are centre to the daily lives of millions of citizens around the world. By design, they are open and freely accessible systems that may be exploited for malicious purposes. Transportation networks, especially in dense urban environments, are integral part of larger synergistic systems forming a network of networks. The present paper introduces a strategic risk assessment framework for assessing risks stemming from security incidents in interconnected, interdependent and heterogeneous transportation networks. The developed framework attempts to build upon existing operational risk analysis frameworks of transportation operators and the organisation of major events. The derived risk assessment approach is designed to estimate risk in interconnected transportation networks and ultimately estimate a holistic risk in the network of networks.

Keywords: critical infrastructures; surface transportation; strategic risk assessment; security incidents; interdependent transport networks; interconnected transport networks; heterogeneous transport networks.

DOI: 10.1504/IJCIS.2011.042975

International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2011 Vol.7 No.3, pp.177 - 199

Received: 28 Jan 2011
Accepted: 16 Mar 2011
Published online: 21 Oct 2014 *

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