Title: Project risk management using fuzzy failure mode and effect analysis and fuzzy logic

Authors: Emad Roghanian; Nazanin Moradinasab; Elham Nabipoor Afruzi; Rahman Soofifard

Addresses: Faculty of Industrial Engineering, K.N. Toosi University of Technology, P.O. Box: 19395-1999, No. 17, Pardis Avenue, Mollasadra Street, Vanak Square, Tehran, Postal Code: 1999143344, Iran ' Department of Training, Research Institute of Petroleum Industry (RIPI), NIOC, West Blvd, Azadi Sport Complex, P.O. Box 14665-1998, Tehran, Iran ' Faculty of Industrial Engineering, K.N. Toosi University of Technology, P.O. Box: 19395-1999, No. 17, Pardis Avenue, Mollasadra Street, Vanak Square, Tehran, Postal Code: 1999143344, Iran ' Department of Training, Research Institute of Petroleum Industry (RIPI), NIOC West Blvd, Azadi Sport Complex, P.O. Box 14665-1998, Tehran, Iran; Technology Development Institute, ACECR, Iran

Abstract: Risk management is one of the most important phases of the project management which attracts increasing attentions of many researchers. The proposed method in this research considers different kinds of risk through the project life cycle. We combine fuzzy failure mode and effect (FMEA) and some weighting methods for determination of project risk magnitude. Our method uses five factors; severity, occurrence, not detection, project phase's weight and risk weight for evaluation of risks and also selecting an appropriate risk response. In fact, our model covers four parts of risk management process: risk management planning, risk identification, quantitative risk analysis and risk response planning. Finally, we use this model for a given construction company to show how it can be employed in reality.

Keywords: fuzzy AHP; analytical hierarchy process; FAHP; project risk management; fuzzy rules; failure mode and effects analysis; fuzzy FMEA; project management; project life cycle; construction industry.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSOM.2015.067477

International Journal of Services and Operations Management, 2015 Vol.20 No.2, pp.207 - 227

Published online: 17 Apr 2015 *

Full-text access for editors Full-text access for subscribers Purchase this article Comment on this article