Title: Is GHG mitigation policy enough to develop bioenergy in Asia: a long-term analysis with TIAM-FR

Authors: Seungwoo Kang; Sandrine Selosse; Nadia Maïzi

Addresses: CMA – Centre for Applied Mathematics, MINES ParisTech, PSL Research University, CS 10207 rue Claude Daunesse, 06904 Sophia Antipolis Cedex, France ' CMA – Centre for Applied Mathematics, MINES ParisTech, PSL Research University, CS 10207 rue Claude Daunesse, 06904 Sophia Antipolis Cedex, France ' CMA – Centre for Applied Mathematics, MINES ParisTech, PSL Research University, CS 10207 rue Claude Daunesse, 06904 Sophia Antipolis Cedex, France

Abstract: Asian countries have sharply increased their energy consumption due to economic growth, inducing extremely high dependency on fossil energy, ranking them among the world's highest CO₂ emitters. Hence, the current focus in these countries is on using bioenergy to diversify the energy mix and mitigate climate change. In this study, we estimated the evolution of bioenergy deployment through current energy and climate policies using a bottom-up energy system optimisation model. The results indicate that a carbon tax system would derive the greatest bioenergy consumption by 2030. Current INDCs targets appear insufficient to promote bioenergy development without renewable energy targets and biofuel blending mandates. [Received: January 14, 2016; Accepted: July 24, 2016]

Keywords: bioenergy; climate change; climate action plan; climate strategy; climate policies; energy systems; long-term modelling; GHG mitigation; greenhouse gases; Asia; carbon emissions; CO2; carbon dioxide; energy mix; energy policies; carbon tax; renewable energy targets; biofuel blending; biofuels.

DOI: 10.1504/IJOGCT.2017.081103

International Journal of Oil, Gas and Coal Technology, 2017 Vol.14 No.1/2, pp.5 - 31

Received: 14 Jan 2016
Accepted: 24 Jul 2016
Published online: 21 Dec 2016 *

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