Title: Macroeconomic influences and equity market returns in Indonesia

Authors: Jacinta Winarto; Ernie Tisnawati Sule; Ria Ratna Ariawati

Addresses: Padjadjaran University, DIM, Jl. Dipati Ukur no. 46, Gedung A Bandung 40132, Indonesia; Universitas Kristen Maranatha, FE, Jl. Prof. Drg. Suria Sumantri, Mph no. 65 Bandung 40164, Indonesia ' Padjadjaran University, DIM, Jl. Dipati Ukur no. 46, Gedung A Bandung 40132, Indonesia ' Padjadjaran University, DIM, Jl. Dipati Ukur no. 46, Gedung A Bandung 40132, Indonesia

Abstract: The aim of this research is to compare the original model of Elton and the modificated model of Elton. In his original model, Elton uses five variables while in the modificated Elton model, we use four variables. This research uses quarterly data within the period of March 2009 and up to December 2013 of 25 liquid shares which are registered at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The data are obtained from Indonesian Capital Market Directory and Bank Indonesia. The result obtained from the model of Elton does not show any significant variables, while in the modificated model of Elton only inflation and exchange rate have a negative significant effect on price change of stock return. This research contribution is to find which model is suitable for Indonesia.

Keywords: macroeconomic; liquid shares; modificated; inflation; exchange rate; Indonesia.

DOI: 10.1504/IJBG.2017.084368

International Journal of Business and Globalisation, 2017 Vol.18 No.4, pp.539 - 551

Received: 19 Nov 2015
Accepted: 24 May 2016
Published online: 06 Jun 2017 *

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