Forthcoming Articles

International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics

International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics (IJSTL)

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International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics (One paper in press)

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  • From nature to freight: quantile and time-frequency evidence on biodiversity-shipping market linkages   Order a copy of this article
    by Hongjun Zeng, Le Yu, Xue Lei, Shenglin Ma 
    Abstract: This paper examines dynamic connectedness and time-frequency co-movement between the Biodiversity Index and seven Baltic shipping indices, extending shipping-environment finance beyond carbon emissions and ESG to biodiversity risk. Using daily data from June 2019 to September 2025, we apply TVP-QVAR frequency connectedness and wavelet coherence methods. Three findings: First, total connectedness rises markedly under extreme market conditions, reaching 64.53% in bearish markets and supporting the contagion hypothesis that correlations strengthen during crises. Second, the biodiversity index is a net short-term risk receiver but becomes a net transmitter over longer horizons, indicating biodiversity risk primarily reaches shipping markets through medium- and long-term channels. Third, wavelet coherence shows substantially stronger long-term than short-term linkages, with connectedness peaking during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022. These findings reveal horizon-dependent transmission of biodiversity risk across global shipping markets and offer implications for diversification.
    Keywords: biodiversity index; shipping markets; TVP-QVAR frequency connectedness; wavelet coherence; systemic risk.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJSTL.2026.10081174
     

 

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