The long-term trend analysis of rainfall data from 1901 to 2015 for Maharashtra and Goa region from India
by Swapnil S. Potdar; Shreyas Kulkarni; Priyanka Patil; Rani P. Pawar; V.V. Jakhalekar; Dada Pandurang Nade
International Journal of Water (IJW), Vol. 13, No. 3, 2019

Abstract: In this work, the long-term trend analysis is carried out on the time series of annual and southwest (SW) monsoon rainfall over Maharashtra and Goa regions in India. This time series of rainfall has longer period of 115 years from 1901 to 2015. The four meteorological subdivisions covering Maharashtra and Goa regions: 1) Konkan and Goa; 2) Madhya-Maharashtra; 3) Marathwada; 4) Vidarbha with homogeneous climate are considered to study the spatial variation of long-term trend analysis in the annual and SW monsoon rainfall. The well-known linear regression analysis, Mann-Kendall (MK) analysis test and Sen's slope estimator methods are used to detect the trend and its significance. Our results show that the long-term trend in annual as well as SW monsoon over Maharashtra as a whole, Konkan and Goa and Madhya Maharashtra is increasing while over Marathwada and Vidarbha region it is decreasing. The numbers of normal, drought and flood years are also calculated. We found maximum flood years (22) for Konkan and Goa and maximum drought years (21) for Vidarbha subdivision.

Online publication date: Fri, 02-Aug-2019

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