Modelling the real exchange rate misalignment in the presence of outliers for developing countries Online publication date: Fri, 15-Sep-2023
by Ridha Ettbib; Mansour Eddaly
Afro-Asian J. of Finance and Accounting (AAJFA), Vol. 13, No. 5, 2023
Abstract: Persistent real exchange rate misalignment is sometimes explained by the presence of a nonlinear adjustment process towards the long-run equilibrium. However, although the nonlinearity may be a feature for some real exchange rates, outliers and nonlinearity may easily be confused. The main purpose of this paper is to make the distinction between nonlinearity and outliers using robust estimation methods of maximum likelihood. Also, the nature of the real exchange rate misalignment is specified, based on the value of fundamentals, for a sample of African countries during the period from 1960 to 2015. According to the robust estimation procedures, the results of linearity tests are particularly interesting. Indeed, the apparent nonlinearity is significantly reduced when considering outliers, especially for South Africa, Ghana, Madagascar and Morocco. We can conclude that the source of the nonlinearity of the real exchange misalignment rate for the countries already mentioned is the existence of outliers in the considered series.
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the Afro-Asian J. of Finance and Accounting (AAJFA):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:
Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.
If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com
Our Blog 
Follow us on Twitter 
Visit us on Facebook