Effects of the 2018 and 2019 floods in Kerala, India on the existing multivariate statistical models Online publication date: Fri, 31-May-2024
by P.G. Dileep Kumar; Narayanan Viswanath; Sobha Cyrus; Benny Mathews Abraham
International Journal of Hydrology Science and Technology (IJHST), Vol. 17, No. 4, 2024
Abstract: The state of Kerala, India, experienced severe flood events during August 2018 and 2019. The aim of this paper was to study the post-flood relevance of the multiple linear regression (MLR) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models formed before floods, for Kozhikode city, Kerala, India. For this, water samples were collected from 49 different locations in the above city, in September 2019. Both the existing MLR and ANFIS models were found to be less effective on post-flood data. Hence, new MLR, structural equation (SE) and ANFIS models were formed separately for severely and less severely flood-affected samples by performing bootstrapping to address the problems caused by the small datasets. The root mean square error (RMSE) and Lorenz curve were used to analyse the performance of the models. It was observed that ANFIS models performed better than MLR models.
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